U.S. sets new softwood lumber duty deposits: West Fraser about 20%, Resolute about 25.6% combined

Commerce published the final results of its 2024 administrative reviews on 19 October. Antidumping: Canfor 17.00%, West Fraser 4.71%, Resolute 13.13%, and 10.64% for the other reviewed companies. Countervailing: Resolute 12.42%, West Fraser 15.31%, and 14.11% for non-selected companies. The new cash-deposit rates apply to entries from 19 October.

Verified October 25, 20262 primary sourcesLean methodCorrections

Verification

How we verify →

Claim → finding → sources. We also list claims we refused to publish as fact.

Claim 1
AD: Canfor 17.00, West Fraser 4.71, Resolute 13.13, non-selected 10.64
FindingFR 2026-21296 final results table.
- Source: https://www.federalregister.gov/d/2026-21296
Claim 2
CVD: Resolute 12.42, West Fraser 15.31, non-selected 14.11; all-others 14.19 continues
FindingFR 2026-21286.
- Source: https://www.federalregister.gov/d/2026-21286
Claim 3
Cash deposits from publication; assessment instructions no earlier than 41 days after
FindingBoth notices.
- Source: https://www.federalregister.gov/d/2026-21296
- Source: https://www.federalregister.gov/d/2026-21286

Refused as fact

Mill-closure / job-loss forecasts (not in the notices)
Stacking s.232/s.338 onto lumber totals (not addressed in these notices)

By Daily Teabag Desk

Published Oct 25, 2026, 1:01 a.m. EDT

LeanCentre(0)Methodology

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Why this lean: Rates quoted from the two Federal Register notices. Combined figures are labelled as our arithmetic, and we make no economic-impact forecast. Scored 0.

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Chugach National Forest sign, Alaska — illustrative only for a timber-trade story; not a Canadian forest — Photo: USDA Forest Service Alaska Region, public domain

The U.S. Department of Commerce published the final results of its administrative reviews of certain softwood lumber products from Canada in the Federal Register on 19 October 2026: the antidumping (AD) review (FR Doc. 2026-21296) and the countervailing duty (CVD) review (FR Doc. 2026-21286), both for 2024.

The rates

Antidumping (weighted-average dumping margins):

Canfor Corporation / Canadian Forest Products Ltd.: 17.00%
West Fraser Mills Ltd. / Blue Ridge Lumber Inc.: 4.71%
Resolute Growth Canada Inc. / Forest Products Mauricie and affiliates: 13.13%
Non-selected companies under review: 10.64%

Countervailing (net subsidy rates):

Resolute FP Canada Inc. and cross-owned affiliates: 12.42%
West Fraser Mills Ltd. and cross-owned affiliates: 15.31%
Non-selected companies: 14.11%

Adding the two orders gives about 20.02% for West Fraser, 25.55% for Resolute, and 24.75% for a company on both non-selected lists. That arithmetic is ours. Each notice sets its own rate.

The following cash deposit requirements will be effective for all shipments of the subject merchandise entered, or withdrawn from warehouse, for consumption on or after the date of publication. — Commerce, AD final results, 19 October 2026

Deposits, assessment and everyone else

Both notices make the new rates the cash deposit rates from publication. Commerce says it will send assessment instructions to CBP for the 2024 entries no earlier than 41 days after publication. Exporters never individually reviewed keep the all-others rates from the original investigations: 6.04% AD and 14.19% CVD.

Citizen impact: These deposits are paid at the border on Canadian lumber entering the U.S. and feed into U.S. lumber prices and Canadian mill decisions, from B.C. to Quebec. The 2024 entries will be finally assessed at these rates unless litigation changes them.

What this piece refuses

We do not forecast mill closures or job losses from these rates. Neither notice says anything about them. We do not add Section 232 or Section 338 duties to the softwood total, because these notices do not address them. Any appeal to the Court of International Trade or a CUSMA panel is a later step. None is reported here.

Bottom line

Final 2024 review rates are published (AD: Canfor 17.00%, West Fraser 4.71%, Resolute 13.13%, others 10.64%; CVD: Resolute 12.42%, West Fraser 15.31%, others 14.11%), and they set the cash deposits from 19 October.

United States Capitol, west front — illustrative for a U.S. tariff proclamation — Photo: Architect of the Capitol, public domain

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Dairy farm landscape near Westby, Wisconsin — Photo: Royalbroil, CC BY-SA 3.0

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Daily Teabag Desk·September 30, 2026Slight right