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    <title>The Daily Teabag — Watchlist updates</title>
    <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist/</link>
    <description>Status updates on bills, courts, agencies, and projects tracked by The Daily Teabag.</description>
    <language>en-CA</language>
    <lastBuildDate>Fri, 06 Nov 2026 18:31:48 GMT</lastBuildDate>
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    <item>
      <title>U.S. — BLS Employment Situation October 2026 — Released 6 Nov 2026: +165k payrolls; unemployment 4.1%; watch revisions in Nov/Dec prints</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#bls-october-2026-empsit</link>
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      <pubDate>Fri, 06 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>October Employment Situation: total nonfarm +165,000; unemployment rate 4.1% (from 4.2% Sep); AHE $38.00 (+3.1% YoY). Next monthly print per BLS schedule.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Canada — Budget 2026 Masters of our destiny — Tabled 5 Nov 2026; deficit path and operating-anchor claim in Annex 1; parliamentary process ongoing</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#canada-budget-2026-masters-destiny</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:canada-budget-2026-masters-destiny:2026-11-06</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 06 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Finance released Budget 2026 on 5 November. Annex 1 projects deficits near $62B in 2026-27/2027-28 with declining deficit-to-GDP afterward, and a positive day-to-day operating balance from 2027-28 under the capital framework. Watch implementation bills, PBO scorekeeping, and revised Annex tables.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — DOL Registered Apprenticeship part 30 nondiscrimination rewrite — Final rule published 6 Nov (91 FR 70164); effective 5 Jan 2027</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#dol-apprenticeship-part-30-2026</link>
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      <pubDate>Fri, 06 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>FR Doc. 2026-22680 removes part 30 affirmative-action/utilization-goal mandates for Registered Apprenticeship sponsors and substitutes a duty to comply with other federal and state nondiscrimination laws. Watch SAA conformity and any litigation.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — United States v. Alaska: ‘second Sullivan’ ballots — Dismissed 1 Nov (Dkt. 79–80); DOJ appeal at Ninth Circuit — no merits ruling yet as of 6 Nov; briefing still ahead</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#doj-v-alaska-sullivan-ballots-2026</link>
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      <pubDate>Fri, 06 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Judge Sharon Gleason dismissed DOJ’s amended complaint without prejudice. The court held it could not order ballots ranking Daniel J. Sullivan segregated for a law-enforcement investigation without breaching the secret ballot, and refused leave to amend. DOJ filed a notice of appeal the same day. Watch for a Ninth Circuit docket and any emergency motion.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — ED supplemental priorities AI→SI rename (FR 2026-22615) — Proposed 5 Nov 2026; comments due 7 Dec 2026 (Docket ED-2026-OS-3169)</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#ed-si-priorities-2026</link>
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      <pubDate>Thu, 05 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>ED proposes renaming Advancing Artificial Intelligence in Education to Advancing Super Intelligence in Education under EO 14434, plus Expanding Education Choice changes (trade/vocational; SI/cybersecurity STEM; apprenticeships). Watch final notice after the comment period.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Alberta — Bill 38 (campus neutrality, free expression, tuition maxima) — Introduced / announced 3 Nov 2026; not yet enacted</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#alberta-bill-38-2026</link>
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      <pubDate>Thu, 05 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Advanced Education Statutes Amendment Act, 2026 would set maximum tuition amounts (≤2% rise for existing domestic students in 2027–28), institutional-neutrality and freedom-of-expression policy minima, student-conduct minima by regulation, and APEGA regulation of ASET technologists. Watch Assembly readings and any bill PDF text.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Netherlands — Box 3 savings and investment tax overhaul — Council of State advises withdrawal of the bill and a single switch in 2030 (advice published 2 Nov 2026)</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#netherlands-box-3-actual-return-2030</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:netherlands-box-3-actual-return-2030:2026-11-05</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 05 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>The Wet werkelijk rendement box 3 bill is before the Senate, and the cabinet’s amendment would bring in a capital gains approach for financial instruments from 2028. The Council of State calls the amendment rushed and unworkable for 2028 (252 FTE, €31M). Watch for the cabinet’s response and whether the amendment goes to the Tweede Kamer.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>EU — Euro area HICP October 2026 (flash 4.0%) — Flash 4.0% published 4 Nov 2026; full release due 18 Nov</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#euro-area-hicp-oct-2026-flash</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:euro-area-hicp-oct-2026-flash:2026-11-04</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Eurostat flash: EA annual 4.0% (Sept 3.8%), energy 20.8%, core ex energy/food/alc/tob 2.5%. Watch 18 Nov full release and any ECB reaction. CBS NL CPI flash 3.7% / HICP 3.3% same morning; regular Dutch CPI 10 Nov.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Netherlands — stikstof bill (sector emission targets to 2035) — Wetsvoorstel sent to Tweede Kamer 3 Nov 2026; not yet enacted</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#netherlands-stikstof-emission-targets-2035</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:netherlands-stikstof-emission-targets-2035:2026-11-04</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Cabinet replaces KDW deposit goals with sector emission targets to 2035; Programma Landbouw, Natuur en Stikstof adopted as design programme; computational under-threshold aimed 1 Jul 2027 if conditions met. Watch Kamer debate, kamerstuk text, and provincial zone plans (deadline Sept 2028).</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — DOJ Election Day monitoring (all 50 states, ~1,000 monitors) — OPA release 3 Nov 2026; Election Day deployment underway</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#doj-election-day-monitoring-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:doj-election-day-monitoring-2026:2026-11-03</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>DOJ says ~1,000 monitors/observers in every state. Watch post-election incident reports, any CRT enforcement actions, and whether OPM observer counties match the published list.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — HHS §504 gender-dysphoria disability clarification — Final rule published 3 Nov 2026; effective 4 Jan 2027</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#us-hhs-504-gender-dysphoria-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:us-hhs-504-gender-dysphoria-2026:2026-11-03</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Regulatory text treats gender dysphoria not resulting from a physical impairment as inside the statutory gender-identity-disorder exclusion. Watch district-court challenges and interaction with Fourth Circuit Williams.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Michigan — electronic pollbook retention (Rule 168.48 enjoined) — Permanent injunction 2 Nov 2026; SOS instructions pending</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#michigan-epb-retention-rule-168-48-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:michigan-epb-retention-rule-168-48-2026:2026-11-03</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>McQueer v. Benson invalidates seven-day EPB deletion under MCL 168.811. Watch SOS implementing instructions and any appeal.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Alberta — 91-seat electoral boundaries panel map — Panel report tabled 2 Nov 2026 (SP 637); awaits legislative enactment</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#alberta-electoral-boundaries-91-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:alberta-electoral-boundaries-91-2026:2026-11-03</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Independent Advisory Panel 91-division proposals before the Assembly. Watch government bill, debate, NDP litigation threat, and Elections Alberta implementation toward 18 Oct 2027.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — PBM fee disclosure rule for large self-insured plans (ERISA 408(b)(2)) — Final rule published 2 Nov 2026; effective 4 Jan 2027; applies to plan years from 1 Jul 2027</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#us-pbm-fee-disclosure-rule-2027</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:us-pbm-fee-disclosure-rule-2027:2026-11-02</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>PBMs and affiliated brokers and consultants must disclose direct and indirect compensation to fiduciaries of self-insured plans with 100 or more participants: before contracting, then every six months. Plans get annual audit rights. Statutory rebate pass-through follows for plan years from 3 Aug 2028. Watch for legal challenges and EBSA guidance.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Canada — Roberts Bank Terminal 2 (Building Canada Act Schedule 1) — Listed 30 Oct 2026 (P.C. 2026-1047); Conditions Document and financing pending; FID target mid-2027</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#roberts-bank-terminal-2-national-interest-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:roberts-bank-terminal-2-national-interest-2026:2026-11-02</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>The $5.9B, three-berth container terminal in Delta, B.C., is now a national-interest project. Remaining federal approvals, including the Fisheries Act/SARA authorisation, will be consolidated into one Conditions Document. Watch for the Conditions Document, the federal financing arrangement and any judicial review by First Nations or environmental groups.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Canada — up to $1.6B equity stake in Cohere — Announced 29 Oct 2026; staged; terms not published</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#canada-cohere-equity-stake-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:canada-cohere-equity-stake-2026:2026-11-02</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Cohere commits to 1,000 Canadian technical jobs, $1.7B of Canadian computing infrastructure by 2030, and to keep its incorporation and headquarters in Canada. Watch for disclosure of the stake size, valuation, stage triggers and enforcement, any Supplementary Estimates or CDEV reporting, and where the computing capacity will be built.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — Section 232 on robotics and industrial machinery (Proclamation 11077) — Published 2 Nov 2026 (91 FR 69199); negotiations update due within 180 days</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#us-robotics-section-232-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:us-robotics-section-232-2026:2026-11-02</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>National-security finding on imports of robotics, industrial machinery and components. Negotiations have been ordered and no tariff imposed yet; tariffs, quotas, fees or an investment program may follow depending on the talks.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Canada–EU — Alliance for the Future and ‘associate’ status — Launched 30 Oct 2026; concept to be defined by the 2027 EU–Canada Summit</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#canada-eu-alliance-associate-status-2027</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:canada-eu-alliance-associate-status-2027:2026-10-31</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 31 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>The joint statement commits both sides to define ‘an ever-closer association of Canada to the EU, short of full membership itself’ by the 2027 summit. Ottawa’s release calls it the EU’s ‘first Associate Member’. Digital Trade and Competition agreements are concluded but not yet signed or ratified. Mutual recognition of digital identity and credentials, immigration information-sharing and an LNG feasibility study are still to come. Watch for agreement texts and any definition of associate status.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — CNA v. Mullin: DHS ‘Unlawful Voter Initiative’ injunction (nine states) — Stay denied 30 Oct (No. 26-7139); en banc vote failed; injunction ends when voting concludes 3 Nov</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#dhs-unlawful-voter-initiative-cna-v-mullin-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:dhs-unlawful-voter-initiative-cna-v-mullin-2026:2026-10-31</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 31 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>The preliminary injunction bars DHS election-related field operations involving known or suspected U.S. citizens in CA, CT, GA, MO, NV, NY, PA, WA and WI, and operations based wholly on TECS records from the Voter Eligibility Matching Policy. Watch for a Supreme Court application and the merits appeal.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Canada — Air Canada–United expanded transborder joint venture (public-interest review) — Bureau report finds harm on 10 routes; public comments to 15 Nov 2026; Minister decides</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#air-canada-united-jv-review-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:air-canada-united-jv-review-2026:2026-10-31</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 31 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>The Competition Bureau’s report under s. 53.73(2) CTA finds that coordination on 10 routes now carved out by the 2012 consent agreement would raise fares on eight of them. Transport Minister Steven MacKinnon may authorise, authorise with conditions, or refuse.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Canada — Clean Fuel Regulations domestic credit multiplier (proposed) — Proposed in Canada Gazette I on 31 Oct 2026; 75-day comment period</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#clean-fuel-regs-credit-multiplier-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:clean-fuel-regs-credit-multiplier-2026:2026-10-31</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 31 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>The proposal gives 1.3–1.8× credits for low-carbon fuels made in Canada from 1 Jan 2026, raises the funding-program cap to 15%, and reserves half of the gaseous-credit limit for domestic production. Government analysis: $0.9B net benefit and about 2.7 Mt a year of emission reductions forgone. The trailer GHG standards are suspended separately (P.C. 2026-1003).</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>EU — €2 Union handling fee on e-commerce imports — Applies from 1 Nov 2026; €3 per-item duty in place since 1 Jul 2026</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#eu-union-handling-fee-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:eu-union-handling-fee-2026:2026-10-31</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 31 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Delegated Regulation (EU) 2026/2152 under the customs reform (Reg. 2026/2108) sets a €2 fee per distinct item on non-EU e-commerce goods, regardless of value. It is non-refundable and may be passed on to consumers. The temporary €3 duty runs until 1 Jul 2028.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — DOJ suit over California vote-by-mail ballots to likely noncitizens — Ninth Circuit denied injunction pending appeal 30 Oct (No. 26-7231, 2–1); special-master hearing 13 Nov</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#doj-california-noncitizen-voter-rolls-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:doj-california-noncitizen-voter-rolls-2026:2026-10-31</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 31 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>United States v. California seeks to enjoin tabulation of federal vote-by-mail ballots from a federal list of more than 20,000 likely noncitizens until citizenship is verified. Cites 18 U.S.C. § 611 and California’s mail-to-all-registered-voters practice.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — States v. Oz: CMS ‘medically frail’ definition for Medicaid work requirements — Summary judgment 29 Oct 2026: frailty limit vacated and enjoined; look-back and self-attestation limits upheld</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#medicaid-medically-frail-states-v-oz-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:medicaid-medically-frail-states-v-oz-2026:2026-10-30</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 30 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Twenty-three states, D.C. and two governors challenged CMS’s June 2026 interim final rule implementing H.R. 1’s Medicaid community-engagement requirement. The court vacated and permanently enjoined the added ‘significantly impairs … ability to comply’ test, upheld the 12-month look-back and the one-attestation limit, and granted a 6-month enforcement stay. The 1 Jan 2027 start date is unchanged. Watch for an appeal.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>UK — under-16 social media ban and age checks at 16 (Ofcom / DSIT) — Ofcom assessment published 29 Oct 2026; government regulations due before end of 2026</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#uk-under-16-social-media-ban-age-checks-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:uk-under-16-social-media-ban-age-checks-2026:2026-10-30</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 30 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Ofcom’s rapid assessment names four methods that can be highly effective at 16: photo-ID matching, digital ID, banking checks and facial age estimation (with a challenge age). Photo ID is central to most. Ofcom will consult on guidance once regulations are laid and enforce when the ban takes effect in 2027.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Alberta — Meta Sturgeon County data centre and Greenlight gas plant permits — Piling permit effective 10 Nov; grading permit effective 12 Nov 2026</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#sturgeon-county-meta-data-centre-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:sturgeon-county-meta-data-centre-2026:2026-10-30</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 30 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Master site development permit DP-26-0028 took effect 7 Jul 2026. The piling-only permit DP-26-0293 (Building DCB01, Mechanical Yard MY01) takes effect 10 Nov and grading permit DP-26-0241 on 12 Nov. All are permitted uses, so third-party appeals are limited. The AUC approved the 1,864 MW Greenlight plant (Decision 30261-D02-2026, 25 Jun 2026). Watch appeals, the Tribunal outcome on the master permit, and the county’s water and emissions reporting.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. Section 338 — Canadian alcohol / dairy / motor-vehicle exclusions — Exclusions in force since 29 Sep; reshuffled 50% duty list in force 30 Oct (Proclamation 11076, 91 FR 68861)</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#us-canada-section-338-exclusions</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:us-canada-section-338-exclusions:2026-10-30</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 30 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Proclamations 11061 (alcohol), 11062 (dairy), 11063 (motor vehicles) exclude annex-listed Canadian products from U.S. importation effective 29 Sep 2026 12:01 a.m. ET under Tariff Act §338. CBP CSMS #70050970 rejects covered ACE entries. Escalation from prior 50% duties. Distinct from steel/aluminum tariff track (Stelco Hamilton idle).</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — EPA proposal to rescind Super Emitter Program and ease 2024 oil-and-gas methane rules — Proposed 29 Oct 2026; virtual hearing 13 Nov; comments due 16 Dec 2026</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#epa-oil-gas-methane-reconsideration-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:epa-oil-gas-methane-reconsideration-2026:2026-10-29</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Would rescind third-party super-emitter notifications, add marginal or conventional well-site subcategories with reduced requirements, and drop sales-line routing as BSER for associated gas (95% flare/control instead). EPA estimates ~$2.3–2.8bn/yr lower compliance costs, 2027–2050. Watch the hearing, comments and any final rule.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Alberta — Bill 33, Justice Statutes Amendment Act, 2026 (No. 2): DEI hiring ban and intimate-deepfake offence — Introduced 27 Oct 2026 (first reading); in force on proclamation if passed</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#alberta-bill-33-dei-hiring-intimate-content-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:alberta-bill-33-dei-hiring-intimate-content-2026:2026-10-29</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Bars provincial bodies (incl. Crown corporations, post-secondaries, school boards, municipalities) from using s.10.1 Alberta Human Rights Act programs in hiring or promotion, except as regulations allow; bans mandatory DEI training content; renames the intimate-images law, covers AI-altered content, new offence up to $10,000/2 years. Watch second reading, amendments and the regulations defining scope.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — federal request that Washington hold ballots of alleged noncitizen voters — Hobbs refused in writing 28 Oct; no federal suit found as of 29 Oct 7 a.m. ET</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#doj-washington-noncitizen-ballots-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:doj-washington-noncitizen-ballots-2026:2026-10-29</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>U.S. Attorneys (W.D. and E.D. Wash.) asked the Secretary of State to hold returned ballots from 400+ people on a DHS list said to be or have been noncitizens. Hobbs refused on 28 Oct, saying the list includes citizens, lacks identifiers and is unreliable, and invited individualized proof. Watch for a federal suit or TRO and the promised second list.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — ACA Exchange pre-eligibility verification rule (CMS-9873-P) — Proposed 27 Oct 2026; comments close 27 Nov 2026; most provisions from plan year 2028</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#cms-aca-exchange-pre-eligibility-verification-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:cms-aca-exchange-pre-eligibility-verification-2026:2026-10-28</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Would withhold APTC/CSRs while citizenship, residency, income, family-size and other-coverage mismatches are unresolved and end automatic subsidy re-enrollment. CMS estimates 332,500 fewer enrollees and about $7.6bn a year lower APTC. Watch comments and the final rule.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — Section 232 action on wind-turbine imports (Proclamation 11074) — Negotiations ordered 22 Oct 2026; update to the President due within 180 days (~20 Apr 2027)</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#us-wind-turbine-section-232-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:us-wind-turbine-section-232-2026:2026-10-28</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Commerce and USTR to negotiate agreements on wind-turbine imports; no new duty yet; existing 232 metals tariffs unchanged. Watch for agreements or ‘alternative remedies’ such as tariffs.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — HHS removes AI ‘model card’ requirements in certified health IT — Final rule published 28 Oct 2026; effective 28 Dec 2026</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#hhs-onc-dsi-model-cards-removal-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:hhs-onc-dsi-model-cards-removal-2026:2026-10-28</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Removes source-attribute and risk-management requirements for predictive decision support interventions (45 CFR 170.315(b)(11)), and 14 certification criteria overall. Watch for litigation, state rules filling the gap, and ONC’s promised look at reinstating some evidence-based CDS source attributes.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>EU — Frontex recast (European Border and Coast Guard Regulation) — Commission proposal 27 Oct 2026 (COM(2026) 1030); Parliament and Council positions next</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#eu-frontex-recast-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:eu-frontex-recast-2026:2026-10-28</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>30,000 standing corps by 2041 incl. 17,000 reserve; Return Coordination Centre; Quick Reaction Force; Online Monitoring and Response Centre with DSA trusted-flagger role and ‘disinformation’ in scope; €11.888bn proposed for 2028–34. Watch LIBE committee and Council handling.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — suspension of visa-free CNMI travel for PRC nationals (EVS-TAP) — Suspension effective 1400 EDT 30 Oct 2026; DHS evaluating the program</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#cnmi-evs-tap-suspension-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:cnmi-evs-tap-suspension-2026:2026-10-27</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 27 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>DHS notice 91 FR 67595 suspends EVS-TAP for new applicants and existing authorizations; PRC visitors need a nonimmigrant visa. Watch the DHS/State/Interior evaluation, any CNMI government or business challenge, and tourism data.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>EU — Digital Omnibus (GDPR, ePrivacy, NIS2, AI Act amendments) — Council mandate agreed 21 Oct 2026 (ST 14756/26); Parliament position and trilogues next</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#eu-digital-omnibus-gdpr-ai-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:eu-digital-omnibus-gdpr-ai-2026:2026-10-27</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 27 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Council position includes a GDPR Article 88bis allowing AI development and operation to rely on legitimate interest, with safeguards and an Article 21 objection right. Watch the European Parliament’s position and trilogue outcome.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Denmark — temporary stop on new and expanded conventional pig farms — In force 26 Oct 2026 (applies to applications from 23 Sep); lapses 26 Oct 2027 unless extended</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#denmark-pig-farm-freeze-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:denmark-pig-farm-freeze-2026:2026-10-26</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Amendment to the livestock-approval order (new § 42 a): municipalities cannot approve new or expanded conventional pig production; organic and free-range exempt. Watch the four-party pig negotiation (grisefirepart), any extension decision, and threatened compensation suits by Landbrug &amp; Fødevarer.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Ontario — optional digital provincial credentials — Announced 23 Oct 2026; consultations from late 2026; physical-ID guarantee bill intended late 2027</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#ontario-digital-credentials-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:ontario-digital-credentials-2026:2026-10-26</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Phased, optional digital credentials: digital Ontario Photo Card first, digital driver’s licences and health cards later (no date). Watch the consultation, privacy commissioner input, vendor/technology choice, the 29 Oct Fall Economic Statement and the promised late-2027 legislation.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>British Columbia general election — 24 October 2026 — Preliminary (99.96% boxes): CP lead 63, NDP 28, Green 2 of 93; Eby conceded; final count 6–10 Nov</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#bc-election-oct24-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:bc-election-oct24-2026:2026-10-26</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Elections BC preliminary results only; vote-by-mail, assisted telephone and absentee ballots are counted about two weeks after election day. 47 seats for a majority. Watch the final count (planned 6–10 Nov), judicial recounts and Return Day (18 Nov).</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Canada — proposed Stablecoin Regulations (Stablecoin Act) — Prepublished CG I 24 Oct 2026; 60-day comments (to ~23 Dec); no in-force date</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#canada-stablecoin-regulations-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:canada-stablecoin-regulations-2026:2026-10-25</guid>
      <pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Bank of Canada registration; daily ≥1:1 HQLA reserves at a Canadian qualified custodian; redemption within 3 business days, no minimum, fee cap 1%; no yield for holding; national-security review (60 days to decide, 180-day review). Also amends RPAA regulations. Watch the comment close and Canada Gazette Part II.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. Treasury — COINS Act outbound investment proposed rule — NPRM issued 22 Oct; FR 26 Oct (91 FR 67396); comments close 7 Dec 2026</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#treasury-coins-act-nprm-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:treasury-coins-act-nprm-2026:2026-10-25</guid>
      <pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Would prohibit U.S. investment in country-of-concern entities developing any &apos;SI system&apos; (AI), ending the notification tier; adds hypersonics and biotech; $50k de minimis notification exception; civil penalties to IEEPA max; divestment power. Uses EO 14434 &apos;super intelligence&apos; terminology.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — Federal Scholarship Tax Credit (s.25F) launch — 30 states opted in for 2027 (IRS, 22 Oct); proposed regs comments close 1 Dec</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#us-fstc-25f-2027</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:us-fstc-25f-2027:2026-10-25</guid>
      <pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Non-refundable credit up to $1,700 ($3,400 joint) for gifts to SGOs in participating states from 1 Jan 2027. Proposed regs bar states from restricting school type. Watch new state elections, final regs and SGO lists.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Colorado — Props 134 (school sports by sex) and 135 (minor sex-trait surgery ban) — On 3 Nov 2026 ballot; statutory; effective 1 Jan 2027 if approved</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#colorado-props-134-135-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:colorado-props-134-135-2026:2026-10-25</guid>
      <pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Prop 134 (Initiative #109): school and athletic-association teams designated by biological sex; female teams closed to males. Prop 135 (Initiative #110): bars surgery on minors to alter biological sex characteristics and its public or insurance funding. Watch results and any litigation.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>EU — data-centre sustainability rating scheme (C(2026) 3472) — Adopted 21 Sep 2026; 2-month EP/Council scrutiny; first labels expected 2027</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#eu-data-centre-rating-scheme-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:eu-data-centre-rating-scheme-2026:2026-10-25</guid>
      <pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Delegated regulation under the Energy Efficiency Directive: A–G classes on PUE and WUE for data centres over 500 kW, with label disclosure of renewable/nuclear sourcing, grid flexibility and waste-heat readiness. A consultation on minimum performance standards runs in parallel.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>HUD — Multnomah County homeless-services Voluntary Compliance Agreement — Signed 20–21 Oct 2026; 7-day tool fix, 30-day rescoring, 3-year term</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#hud-multnomah-vca-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:hud-multnomah-vca-2026:2026-10-25</guid>
      <pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>County removes culturally-specific-services points from its MSST screening tool, renames the ESL criterion, rescores households and resets Priority Housing Pool thresholds; fair-housing training within 90 days. County denies allegations; no HUD finding.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Alberta referendum — 19 October 2026 — Voted 19 Oct 2026; unofficial 74.9% remain (5,535/5,536 locations with results); Q1–Q5 pass, Q6–Q9 trail; official results 29 Oct</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#alberta-referendum-oct19-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:alberta-referendum-oct19-2026:2026-10-25</guid>
      <pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Unofficial (10:46 p.m. MT 24 Oct, 5,535/5,536 locations with results): Q10 remain 74.9% (1,551,928), start-process 25.1% (519,029). Q1–Q5 pass 51.9–58.1%. Q6–Q9 (judge selection, Senate abolition, program opt-out, paramountcy) trail 42.3–47.3%. Elections Alberta (24 Oct): delays come from voting places that used one set of ballot boxes for several voting areas; ballots separated by hand; all votes included; it will recommend legislative changes on hand-counting. Official results 29 Oct.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>SCOTUS — Rhoney v. Barbosa da Cunha mandatory detention (26-104) — Cert granted 1 Oct; merits briefing next</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#scotus-rhoney-mandatory-detention-26-104</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:scotus-rhoney-mandatory-detention-26-104:2026-10-23</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 23 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Order List 1 Oct 2026 grants cert in Rhoney v. Barbosa da Cunha, No. 26-104 — ICE mandatory detention without bond for noncitizens apprehended inside the U.S. Docket: Petition GRANTED. Not a merits holding. Distinct from DHS v. D.V.D. (third-country) and Kingdom 26A416.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>SCOTUS — Trump v. Kingdom BOP gender-dysphoria policy stay (26A416) — Stay DENIED 21 Oct 2026 (Thomas, Alito would grant); D.D.C. block stays; D.C. Cir. appeal continues</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#scotus-kingdom-bop-policy-26a416</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:scotus-kingdom-bop-policy-26a416:2026-10-23</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 23 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Solicitor General emergency application asks SCOTUS to stay D.D.C. classwide block on BOP’s February 2026 gender-dysphoria policy (mental-health care continues; surgeries / general new hormones / social accommodations end). D.C. Cir. denied stay 18 Sep (divided). Chief Justice requested response by 4 p.m. EDT 8 Oct 2026 (confirmed on public docket 1 Oct morning). Denied 21 Oct 2026 (see update). Distinct from Oregon S.D. v. Reese and from DHS v. D.V.D. 26A406. Update 9 Oct: opposition filed 8 Oct (APA arbitrary/pretext; PLRA argument forfeited; ~1,000 people affected per respondents); 24-state + Arizona Legislature amicus for applicants; SG reply 9 Oct. Update 21 Oct: application referred to the Court and DENIED; Justices Thomas and Alito would grant. No reasons given; not a merits ruling.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>SCC leave — Emergencies Act appeals — Leave GRANTED 22 Oct 2026 (file 42261); CCLA + CCF cross-appeals granted; no hearing date</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#scc-leave-emergencies-act</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:scc-leave-emergencies-act:2026-10-23</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 23 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>SCC granted the Attorney General of Canada leave to appeal 2026 FCA 6 (16 Jan 2026) on 22 Oct 2026, with costs in the cause; CCLA and CCF leave to cross-appeal granted; Gatien intervention motion dismissed. Lower courts: 2024 FC 42 found the invocation unreasonable and ultra vires, Regulations breached s. 2(b), Order breached s. 8; FCA dismissed all appeals. Interveners: AGs of Alberta and Saskatchewan. Hearing date to be set.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Canada — Express Entry CRS ‘Labour Market Integration’ factor and LMIA-free job offers — Announced 16 Oct 2026; takes effect 3 Nov 2026 (draws pause up to 2 weeks for re-scoring)</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#ircc-express-entry-crs-high-wage-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:ircc-express-entry-crs-high-wage-2026:2026-10-19</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Up to 150 CRS points for Canadian experience (+70/40/20 for high-wage occupations) or 100/70/50 for high-wage job offers; LMIA no longer required for Express Entry job offers or FSW/FST job-offer eligibility. Watch the high-wage occupation list, first post-change draw cut-offs, and the levels plan.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — United States v. City of New York (sanctuary provisions) — Dismissed 15 Oct 2026; judgment 16 Oct; appeal window open (FRAP 4(a)(1)(B))</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#us-v-nyc-sanctuary-edny-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:us-v-nyc-sanctuary-edny-2026:2026-10-19</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Judge Reyes held DOJ lacks standing and its preemption and intergovernmental-immunity claims fail; anticommandeering bars relief. NYC Admin. Code §§ 9-131, 9-205, 14-154, 10-178 and NYPD Ops. Order No. 4 remain in force. Watch for a notice of appeal.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act: duties and sanctions waived — 16 Oct 2026 order sets 500% / 100% duties and waives them; waivers open-ended</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#graham-act-russia-waivers-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:graham-act-russia-waivers-2026:2026-10-19</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Section 115 waivers of all Graham Act duties and most new sanctions, certified to Congress; EO-based Russia sanctions and OFAC GL 135 unaffected. Watch the § 115(b) report, any congressional override, and USTR monitoring of Russian oil buyers.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — Ohio EdChoice vouchers (Columbus City School Dist. v. State) — Held unconstitutional 15 Oct 2026 (2026-Ohio-4047); judgment stayed pending appeal</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#ohio-edchoice-columbus-csd-v-state-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:ohio-edchoice-columbus-csd-v-state-2026:2026-10-19</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Unanimous Tenth District panel affirmed that EdChoice and EdChoice Expansion violate Ohio Const. art. VI, § 2. Program continues under stay. About $700M a year goes to participating private schools. Watch for the state’s appeal and any Supreme Court of Ohio schedule.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>EU — Nitrates Directive amendment: RENURE extended to liquid digestates — Draft act out for one-month feedback from 19 Oct 2026</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#eu-nitrates-renure-liquid-digestates-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:eu-nitrates-renure-liquid-digestates-2026:2026-10-19</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Would let Member States exempt certain manure-derived liquid digestates meeting RENURE criteria, as already allowed for ammonium salts, mineral concentrates and struvite. Next steps: QMV in the Nitrates Committee, 3-month EP/Council scrutiny, adoption; spring 2027 target.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — Georgia SB 351 social-media age verification (NetChoice v. Carr) — 11th Cir. vacated PI 15 Oct 2026; remanded to N.D. Ga.</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#georgia-sb351-netchoice-11th-cir-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:georgia-sb351-netchoice-11th-cir-2026:2026-10-16</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 16 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Published opinion No. 25-12436: NetChoice has associational standing but failed Moody facial First Amendment burden plus vagueness and § 230 at the PI stage. SB 351 age verification / under-16 parental consent / minor-ad limits enforceable pending further district-court proceedings.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — EPA proposal to reallocate extra 2025 small refinery exemptions onto 2026–27 RFS — Proposed rule published 16 Oct FR; hearing 4 Nov; comments due 4 Dec</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#epa-rfs-2025-sre-reallocation-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:epa-rfs-2025-sre-reallocation-2026:2026-10-16</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 16 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>FR Doc. 2026-21155 (published 16 Oct) co-proposes reallocating 770 million additional 2025 exempted RINs either equally to 2026 and 2027 or all to 2027. EPA estimates under 1¢/gal added pump cost. Triggers automatic extension of the 2026 compliance reporting deadline (now 31 Mar 2027).</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>EU — proposal to delay Methane Regulation import obligations by one year — Commission proposal COM(2026) 569 adopted 14 Oct; awaits Parliament and Council</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#eu-methane-regulation-postponement-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:eu-methane-regulation-postponement-2026:2026-10-15</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 15 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Would move the importer equivalence demonstration (now from 1 Jan 2027) to a first report by 31 May 2029, methane-intensity reporting from 5 Aug 2028 to 5 Aug 2029, and maximum-intensity compliance from 5 Aug 2030 to 5 Aug 2031. Commission cites the Hormuz supply shock.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — Emergency Tax Relief on Diesel Fuel (executive order) — IR-2026-122: dyed-fuel penalties waived 1 Oct–31 Dec; 7508A deferral guidance still pending</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#us-eo-emergency-diesel-tax-relief-oct-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:us-eo-emergency-diesel-tax-relief-oct-2026:2026-10-15</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 15 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>EO 14435 (91 FR 64747) directed Treasury to decide whether 26 U.S.C. 7508A relief is authorised and to have the IRS waive 6715 dyed-fuel penalties for highway use. Update 14 Oct: IR-2026-122 announces no federal dyed-diesel highway penalty from 1 Oct through 31 Dec 2026 (inspections suspended; federal-only). The same release says further 7508A postponement guidance for 4041(a)(1)(A)/(b)(1)(B) is anticipated and that Treasury will explore eliminating deferred amounts — that guidance is not yet issued. Illinois EO 2026-08 (6 Oct) is separate state relief. OFAC GL 135 (9 Oct) still authorizes Russian-origin diesel imports to 7 Apr 2027.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — DHS/USCIS final rule ending automatic EAD extensions on renewal — Final rule published 14 Oct (91 FR 65306); effective on publication</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#dhs-ead-automatic-extension-removal-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:dhs-ead-automatic-extension-removal-2026:2026-10-14</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 14 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>FR Doc. 2026-20955 adopts without change the 30 Oct 2025 IFR (90 FR 48799): renewals in covered categories filed on/after 30 Oct 2025 do not get automatic extension of employment authorization/EAD; up-to-540-day bridge limited to renewals filed before that date. C08 and C09 dominate volume. 653 comments on the IFR.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — EPA extends GHGRP reporting-year 2025 deadline to 10 March 2027 — Interim final rule published 14 Oct (91 FR 65112); comments due 30 Nov</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#epa-ghgrp-ry2025-deadline-extension-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:epa-ghgrp-ry2025-deadline-extension-2026:2026-10-14</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 14 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>FR Doc. 2026-20982 changes only the reporting-year 2025 Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program deadline, from 30 Oct 2026 to 10 Mar 2027, while EPA finishes a separate GHGRP reconsideration proposal. No other part 98 changes.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — BIS guidance on “U.S. content” for USMCA goods under Proclamation 11032 — Published 14 Oct (91 FR 65162); effective for entries from 12:01 a.m. ET</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#bis-us-content-proc-11032-usmca</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:bis-us-content-proc-11032-usmca:2026-10-14</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 14 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>For USMCA-qualifying Canadian and Mexican Annex I-C steel and aluminum articles, the 25% duty applies only to non-U.S. content, with a 15% floor (8 Jun 2026–31 Dec 2027). BIS defines U.S. content as U.S. parts (wholly obtained, entirely produced or substantially transformed) plus U.S.-melted steel and U.S.-smelted aluminum and copper.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — DHS/EOIR final rule on civil fines for failure to depart and unlawful entry — Final rule published 14 Oct (91 FR 65390); effective on publication</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#dhs-eoir-civil-penalties-final-rule-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:dhs-eoir-civil-penalties-final-rule-2026:2026-10-14</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 14 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>FR Doc. 2026-21024 finalizes the 27 June 2025 interim rule (90 FR 27439): DHS officers issue penalty decisions directly (regular mail allowed), 15 business days to appeal, supervisory review on the written record, no BIA appeal. One change: late appeals accepted for documented mail delays. Fines up to $998/day (INA 274D), $1,992–$9,970 (INA 240B(d)), $100–$500 per entry (INA 275(b)). DHS reports over 176,000 penalties issued under the interim rule through 14 Sep 2026.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Canada — proposed order letting 27 police services use cellphone jammers — Pre-published 10 Oct (Canada Gazette I); comments for 30 days (to about 9 Nov)</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#canada-ra-jammer-exemption-police-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:canada-ra-jammer-exemption-police-2026:2026-10-13</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 13 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Proposed Radiocommunication Act Exemption Order (Jammers — Certain Law Enforcement Agencies): exempts employees of 27 listed police services, their procurement staff and suppliers from the jammer ban for national security, public safety, investigations and protection purposes. Conditions: notice of contacts to the Minister, minimization, training, secure storage, five-year use logs. No warrant requirement, public reporting or expiry in the text. In force on registration.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Canada — Bill C-31 Division 13: end of mandatory 15-year pesticide re-evaluation — In committee; ministers 19–20 Oct; amendments due noon 22 Oct (per chair, as reported)</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#canada-c31-pcpa-re-evaluation</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:canada-c31-pcpa-re-evaluation:2026-10-13</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 13 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Clauses 282–285 of the Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 2 replace mandatory re-evaluation under Pest Control Products Act s. 16(2) with a 15-year assessment on available information; full re-evaluation only on reasonable grounds that risks have ‘increased significantly’ (undefined). Ongoing re-evaluations can be terminated after such an assessment.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — CBP proposal to require advance passenger and crew data for every cross-border train — Proposed rule published 13 Oct (91 FR 64840); comments due 14 Dec</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#cbp-rail-advance-traveler-information-nprm-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:cbp-rail-advance-traveler-information-nprm-2026:2026-10-13</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 13 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>FR Doc. 2026-20884 (USCBP-2026-0992) would require rail carriers to send a train notice 24 hours ahead and each traveller’s identity, document, itinerary, U.S. address, seat and contact data 60 minutes before departure, in both directions, and to verify travel documents. CBP could recommend that a carrier not board a flagged traveller. Voluntary since 2005; one carrier participates. CBP is drafting a matching bus rule.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — Forest Service final rule shortening project comment and objection periods (36 CFR 218) — Final rule published 13 Oct (91 FR 64760); effective 12 Nov</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#usfs-36-cfr-218-objection-rule-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:usfs-36-cfr-218-objection-rule-2026:2026-10-13</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 13 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>FR Doc. 2026-20890: comment periods 15 days (EA) / 30 days (EIS), from 30/45; objections within 10/20 days, from 45 (30 for HFRA projects); the deciding official reviews objections instead of a higher-level reviewing officer; 5-page responses; web-only legal notice. Proposed 6 Feb 2026 (91 FR 5387); ~2,270 comments.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Alberta — second Impact Assessment Act reference (2026 ABCA 320) — 4–1 opinion 9 Oct: designated-projects scheme ultra vires except federal undertakings</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#abca-iaa-reference-2026-abca-320</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:abca-iaa-reference-2026-abca-320:2026-10-11</guid>
      <pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Reference by Alberta OIC 316/2024 on the IAA as amended by the Budget Implementation Act, 2024, No 1. Majority (Crighton, Strekaf, Ho, Fagnan JJA): designated-projects part and Physical Activities Regulations unconstitutional except insofar as they apply to federal undertakings; severing s 7 would not cure it. Feehan JA dissented. Advisory opinion; the Act remains in force. Ecojustice has urged Ottawa to appeal; Premier Smith urged Ottawa not to. Environment Minister Dabrusin’s office says the government is reviewing the decision and considering next steps (CP, 9 Oct). No appeal announced as of 11 Oct.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Bill C-39 — Building Canada Strong Act — 2nd reading carried 296–26 (8 Oct); at legislative committee</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#bill-c-39-building-canada-strong</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:bill-c-39-building-canada-strong:2026-10-09</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 09 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Omnibus companion to C-5-era major-projects tools: Impact Assessment / CER clocks, regions of national interest, ports/trade corridors, and Canada Labour Code mediation / CIRB direction tools. Second-reading debate on 23–25 Sep (Journals 142–144); Sitting 144 motion seeks referral to a legislative committee, and Ryan Turnbull moved the previous question. Debate on the previous question continued on 5 Oct (Journals 145) and again on the evening of 6 Oct after the opposition day and Private Members’ Business (Journals 146), with no vote. At midnight on 7 Oct the previous question was agreed to on division; the second-reading recorded division is deferred to 8 Oct after QP (Journals 147). PROC 34th report named the 11-member Legislative Committee on C-39. Not yet law. West Coast Oil Pipeline was listed in Schedule 1 on 1 Oct (PC 2026-0925) under C-5 tools; LNG Canada Phase 2 FID is a separate gas file. Update 9 Oct: second reading and referral agreed to 296–26 on 8 Oct (Division 178, 10 paired; Bloc, NDP and May nay); James Maloney appointed committee chair (Journals No. 148). Not law.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Canada federal fuel excise pause — PBO: $4.9B, $276/family; C-38 late sitting 19 Oct</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#fuel-excise-pause-jan-2027</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:fuel-excise-pause-jan-2027:2026-10-09</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 09 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Excise relief extended; trucking and farm desks still flag retail diesel levels as the binding constraint — ~4¢/L pause vs record pump prices. Legislated as Bill C-38 (Canadian Fuel Affordability Act): suspension to 31 Jan 2027, 50% rates 1 Feb–31 Mar 2027. Second reading 22 Sep; Finance committee reported it without amendment 6 Oct; report stage and third reading next, then the Senate. PBO cost estimate (8 Oct): $4.943B in 2026-27 incl. GST; $276 average per family ($132 lowest quintile to $468 highest), assuming full pass-through. House to sit until midnight 19 Oct and take up C-38 at 6:30 p.m. (Journals No. 148).</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Canada — MAID mental-illness exclusion (17 Mar 2027 lapse) and promised government bill — C-218 defeated 7 Oct; government bill promised “this fall”</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#canada-maid-mental-illness-exclusion-2027</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:canada-maid-mental-illness-exclusion-2027:2026-10-08</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Under C-62 (S.C. 2024, c. 1), the exclusion of MAID where mental illness is the sole condition lapses on 17 March 2027. On 7 Oct Ministers Fraser and Michel promised a fall bill keeping the exclusion ‘on an indeterminate basis’ and allowing advance requests, with provinces deciding whether to permit them. The same day the House negatived Conservative Bill C-218 (Jansen) at second reading, 141–187 (Division 177). No government bill tabled yet.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>U.S. — DHS proposed $70,000 / $30,000 OPT fees (F-1 students) — NPRM published 8 Oct; comments close 9 Nov</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#dhs-opt-fee-nprm-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:dhs-opt-fee-nprm-2026:2026-10-08</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Proposed rule 2026-20660 (91 FR 64566) would charge SEVP-certified schools $70,000 per F-1 student recommended for initial OPT and $30,000 for any later OPT (including the STEM extension). Fees are refundable if no EAD issues and go to Treasury general receipts. DHS acknowledges schools may pass the cost on. A final rule would take effect 60 days after publication and apply prospectively.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Canada — cost of NATO 3.5% core defence target (PBO) — PBO primer 6 Oct; not yet in budget projections</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#pbo-nato-defence-cost-2035</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:pbo-nato-defence-cost-2035:2026-10-08</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>PBO primer NT-2627-013-S: on a gradual path, core defence spending rises from $95.7B (2030-31) to $163.6B (2035-36), $70.1B above a 2%-of-GDP reference. Accrual deficit +$63.7B (1.4% of GDP) and debt +5.7 points in 2035-36. The paths are illustrative, not projections. The government says 4% by 2030 is provisioned and 5% by 2035 will need more.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>EU — Court of Auditors 2025 report: error rate and EU borrowing — AR-2025 published 8 Oct; adverse opinion on spending</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#eca-ar-2025-eu-debt</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:eca-ar-2025-eu-debt:2026-10-08</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Estimated error 3.8% (2024: 3.6%), adverse opinion on budget expenditure; RRF qualified opinion. Outstanding EU borrowing €738.9B at end-2025, could reach €1 trillion by 2027. NGEU financing costs in the current MFF could reach €28.3B vs €14.9B forecast. The Commission proposes €24B a year for 2028-34 and has published no overall repayment strategy to 2058.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>House — Conservative diesel-tax opposition motion (6 Oct 2026) — Negatived 133–196 on 7 Oct</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#cpc-diesel-tax-supply-motion-oct-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:cpc-diesel-tax-supply-motion-oct-2026:2026-10-08</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>First allotted day of the fall supply period. Carol Anstey’s motion calls on the government to eliminate all taxes on diesel consumption until at least Canada Day, permanently eliminate taxes on diesel production, fast-track diesel infrastructure, and target 1 million barrels/day of Canadian diesel output. Non-binding; names no specific tax. Federal diesel excise (4¢/L) already suspended to 31 Jan 2027. Question put at 5:30 p.m. on 6 Oct; recorded division deferred under SO 45 to 7 Oct (Journals No. 146). Negatived 7 Oct, 133–196 (Division 176): Conservatives yea; Liberals, Bloc, NDP and Green nay (Journals No. 147).</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Bill C-40 — Canadian Corporation for Defence Investment — First reading 6 Oct; second reading next</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#canada-c40-defence-investment-crown-corp</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:canada-c40-defence-investment-crown-corp:2026-10-07</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 07 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Government bill making the Defence Investment Agency a Crown corporation (agent of the Crown) with lending, guarantee and share powers, a $1 billion revolving cap on CRF payments plus $30M start-up, an Associate Minister for Procurement, and a rewritten procurement Act whose competitive-process default carries 13 ministerial exceptions. No new ATIA/Privacy Act listing. Five-year review.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Bill C-231 — youth drug-treatment referrals (YCJA) — Report stage concurred 6 Oct; third reading</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#canada-c231-yoa-drug-treatment</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:canada-c231-yoa-drug-treatment:2026-10-07</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 07 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Luc Berthold’s private member’s bill: police must consider treatment referral for youth possession offences; youth courts may delay sentencing for treatment; non-residential programs capped at 240 hours over six months. Committee deleted the ‘no custody for refusing treatment’ clause. Second reading 327–0 (15 Apr 2026).</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Netherlands — hybrid heat-pump standard on boiler replacement — Announced 7 Oct; Bbl change targeted mid-2028</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#nl-hybrid-heat-pump-norm-2029</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:nl-hybrid-heat-pump-norm-2029:2026-10-07</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 07 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Minister’s letter of 7 Oct 2026: from 2029, a smart hybrid heat pump becomes the starting point in many cases when a gas boiler is replaced, via a tightened Bbl heating-efficiency requirement. Exemptions foreseen for homes due for heat networks, apartment buildings and monuments. Payback study early 2027; consultation and voorhang 2027; publication mid-2028.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>CJEU C-249/25 — asylum claims of temporary-protection holders — Ruled 1 Oct: blanket suspension unlawful</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#cjeu-c249-25-temporary-protection-asylum</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:cjeu-c249-25-temporary-protection-asylum:2026-10-07</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 07 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Court of Justice: a generalised, automatic suspension of asylum examinations for people under Ukraine temporary protection infringes EU law; standard time limits apply, with extensions and phased examination allowed. Dutch minister says about 140,000 claims must now be processed (minister’s figure).</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Québec — PQ minority government and immigration plan — PQ 59 of 127 — votes added; Vachon by 10</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#quebec-pq-minority-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:quebec-pq-minority-2026:2026-10-07</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 07 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Élections Québec results file flagged final after the addition of the votes (7 Oct 02:12 ET): PQ 59 seats (28.02%), Liberals 40, Conservatives 19, Québec solidaire 9, CAQ 0; turnout 66.92%. Minority — 64 needed for a majority. Close seats: Vachon (Liberal by 10, was 14 preliminary), Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne (275, was 39). Any judicial recount could change Vachon, not the government. PQ pledge of 35,000 permanent admissions a year is a platform promise until a PQ government tables an immigration plan.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
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    <item>
      <title>DHS OIG-26-38 — ICE enforcement on visa overstays (FY 2021–24) — Report issued 29 Sep; ICE plan due 30 Sep 2027</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#dhs-oig-26-38-visa-overstays</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:dhs-oig-26-38-visa-overstays:2026-10-06</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>OIG audit: 3,145,375 overstay leads; 104,049 rated potential concerns; 21,885 viable; 496 investigated; 8 lead-driven arrests (2 from 1,769 Priority 1 leads). Separately 446 HSI and 16,458 ERO overstay arrests by other means. ICE concurred with one recommendation; corrective plan due 30 Sep 2027.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>H-1B $100,000 payment — Global Nurse Force v. Trump (N.D. Cal.) — Agency policies vacated 30 Sep; proclamation not struck</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#ndcal-h1b-100k-fee-25cv08454</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:ndcal-h1b-100k-fee-25cv08454:2026-10-06</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Judge Haywood S. Gilliam Jr.’s 30 Sep 2026 order (Doc. 130, 25-cv-08454-HSG) vacates USCIS/CBP/State policies implementing the $100,000 H-1B payment and enjoins enforcement under Proclamations 10973 and 11069 until APA notice-and-comment and an RFA analysis. Not a holding that the proclamation is void. D. Mass. California v. Mullin already vacated the policies (First Circuit denied a stay); D.D.C. Chamber of Commerce upheld the fee and is on appeal.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Big Bend border barrier — preliminary injunction (EP-26-CV-1099-KC) — PI granted 2 Oct; memo opinion to follow</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#big-bend-border-barrier-pi-ep26cv1099</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:big-bend-border-barrier-pi-ep26cv1099:2026-10-06</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Judge Kathleen Cardone’s 2 Oct 2026 order (Doc. 66) enjoins border-barrier and ground-disturbing work in the Big Bend Sector until defendants comply with applicable laws, and stays the West, National Park, and Lower Canyons IIRIRA waivers. Not a final merits ruling. Distinct from the 2 Oct El Paso Sector New Mexico water-law waiver (91 FR 62739).</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Québec election — immigration thresholds (5 Oct 2026) — Voted 5 Oct; PQ minority (preliminary)</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#quebec-election-oct5-2026-immigration</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:quebec-election-oct5-2026-immigration:2026-10-06</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Élections Québec advance poll ran 27–28 Sep 2026; office voting window ended 1 Oct; polling day remains 5 Oct. Secondary reports citing Élections Québec preliminary counts put early turnout near ~13.8% / ~900k after advance days — turnout, not a threshold instrument. Permanent-admission pledges still span ~35k (PQ) to 70k (QS). Polls open 9:30 a.m.–8 p.m. ET on 5 Oct; Élections Québec expects first preliminary results between 8:30 and 9:00 p.m. No results reported here before they are posted. Result (Élections Québec preliminary, 6 Oct): PQ 59 of 127 seats — a minority; see quebec-pq-minority-2026. Watch post-election threshold instruments — not horse-race polls.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Coutts blockade appeals — R v Carbert, 2026 ABCA 314 — Conviction appeals dismissed 1 Oct; Charter breaches found</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#abca-coutts-carbert-2026-abca-314</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:abca-coutts-carbert-2026-abca-314:2026-10-05</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Court of Appeal of Alberta dismissed Chris Carbert’s and Anthony Olienick’s conviction appeals (1 Oct 2026). It held the s 184.4 emergency wiretap of Carbert was never justified, found the Coutts property warrant facially invalid, and rated the combined breaches ‘not minor,’ but admitted the firearms under s 24(2). Jury had acquitted both of conspiracy to murder police. News reports say sentence appeals are still pending.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>G7 / IEA 100-million-barrel oil and diesel release — Release under way; IEA follow-up due within 20 days</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#g7-iea-100mb-release-oct-2026</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:g7-iea-100mb-release-oct-2026:2026-10-05</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>G7 leaders (2 Oct 2026) agreed a coordinated IEA release of 100 million barrels over four months, with a front-loaded diesel release within 20 days, refinery-maintenance coordination, and no intra-G7 energy export restrictions. IEA asked to report back within 20 days. Canada has no IEA stockholding obligation and no public emergency stocks (IEA). Kalibrate Canada average 2 Oct: diesel 260.7¢/L, regular 185.3¢/L.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Bill C-34 — Safe Social Media / Digital Safety Act — Second reading — watch committee text</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#bill-c-34-safe-social-media</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:bill-c-34-safe-social-media:2026-10-05</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Successor vehicle after C-63 died. Track Digital Safety Commission powers, chatbot duties, and any Criminal Code/CHRA hitchhikers. LEGISinfo (5 Oct): second reading, no activity yet. The House Projected Order of Business for 5 Oct does not list C-34, even though some previews said it was called.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Alto high-speed rail (Toronto–Québec City concept) — PBO: $75–113B build cost (1 Oct)</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#alto-hsr-toronto-quebec</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:alto-hsr-toronto-quebec:2026-10-05</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Crown megaproject inside the major-projects sales pitch. PBO report RP-2627-009-C (1 Oct 2026, for the Senate finance committee) prices the baseline route excluding Kingston at $75–113 billion (2024$) versus the government’s $60–90 billion; Kingston option (announced 22 Jun 2026) not costed; ridership/operations in a second PBO report. Alto says an initial business case is expected in H1 2027 (CP). Rigaud-area farmers protested the corridor carve-up.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>LNG Canada Phase 2 — Kitimat FID — FID taken 28–29 Sep 2026; construction path next</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#lng-canada-phase-2-fid</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:lng-canada-phase-2-fid:2026-10-03</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>JVPs took FID on Phase 2 (company 28 Sep / CNW 29 Sep): capacity 14→28 mtpa; PMO cites $33B private investment and welcomes TC Energy Coastal GasLink Phase 2 FID. Indigenous MNT equity option up to $1B for Phase 2 storage tank. Distinct from the West Coast oil pipeline, which was listed on Schedule 1 on 1 Oct 2026 (PC 2026-0925 / Pacific Link) — listing is not a CER certificate.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Forever Canadian / Elections Alberta disclosure fight — Compliance agreement 29 Sep — reporting, not a fine</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#forever-canadian-elections-alberta</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:forever-canadian-elections-alberta:2026-10-03</guid>
      <pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Elections Alberta compliance agreement (29 Sep 2026): Forever Canadian will split referendum-advertising contributions from other donations and report expenses for events where speakers took a position on the separation question, including the 23 Aug town hall and Unity Bus events on or after 20 Aug. The Commissioner’s summary says general unity events were not referendum advertising. Not a fine. Oct 19 referendum clock continues. Rebel mandamus file remains a separate process fight.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Pacific Link / West Coast Oil Pipeline — Schedule 1 listed — Listed Schedule 1 (PC 2026-0925); conditions → 1 Sep 2027</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#west-coast-oil-pipeline-listing</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:west-coast-oil-pipeline-listing:2026-10-02</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 02 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>OIC PC 2026-0925 (1 Oct 2026) amends Building Canada Act Schedule 1 to list the West Coast Oil Pipeline (~1 Mb/d Bruderheim–Delta). PMO/Alberta brand it Pacific Link. MPO/CER conditions document targeted for 1 Sep 2027. Listing ≠ CER certificate or construction. Gazette Part II regular index still Vol. 160 No. 19 (23 Sep) as of 2 Oct morning — Part II publication may lag the Order.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Bill C-5 — One Canadian Economy Act / Building Canada Act — In force — WCOP listed 1 Oct (PC 2026-0925); C-39 at 2nd reading</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#bill-c-5-one-canadian-economy</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:bill-c-5-one-canadian-economy:2026-10-02</guid>
      <pubDate>Fri, 02 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Cabinet can designate projects of national interest and compress federal approval pathways; Major Projects Office sells a two-year clock. West Coast Oil Pipeline listed on Schedule 1 via PC 2026-0925 (1 Oct 2026; Pacific Link brand) — MPO/CER conditions track toward 1 Sep 2027. Bill C-39 proposes further assessment/region/labour tools; second reading through 25 Sep; House returns 5 Oct.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Diemert v. City of Seattle — hostile work environment (9th Cir.) — HWE claims revived for trial (28 Sep 2026)</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#diemert-v-seattle-9th-cir</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:diemert-v-seattle-9th-cir:2026-10-01</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 01 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Published opinion No. 25-1188 (28 Sep 2026): reverse SJ on Title VII / WLAD hostile-work-environment claims tied to Seattle Race and Social Justice Initiative trainings and workplace incidents; affirm SJ on constructive discharge, disparate treatment, retaliation, Equal Protection; remand. Not a facial ban on race-conscious training.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Gaines v. NCAA — Title IX summary judgment (N.D. Ga.) — SJ for NCAA; case closed; appeal intent (no ECF yet)</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#gaines-v-ncaa-title-ix-ndga</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:gaines-v-ncaa-title-ix-ndga:2026-10-01</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 01 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Judge Tiffany R. Johnson granted NCAA summary judgment (Doc. 196) holding no evidence NCAA received federal funds via DoD concussion CARE partnership; clerk’s judgment for NCAA (Doc. 197); case closed. Did not decide transgender-policy merits. Plaintiffs/ICONS have stated intent to appeal to the 11th Cir.; no notice-of-appeal ECF verified as of 1 Oct morning.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Ofcom X/Grok probe + DSA Meta/TikTok follow-ons — Category 1 appeals; High Court JR 13–14 Oct</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#ofcom-x-grok-dsa-meta</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:ofcom-x-grok-dsa-meta:2026-10-01</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 01 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Meta appealed Ofcom Category 1 designations for Instagram/WhatsApp (Upper Tribunal path). Separate High Court judicial-review dates 13–14 Oct are not a UT Category 1 judgment. EU Meta &amp; TikTok DSA prelims may become fines; X €120m transparency fine stands.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Netherlands / Denmark nitrogen &amp; nutrient farm rules — DK 2027 farm limits posted ~29 Sep; NL no pause</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#dutch-nitrogen-green-deal</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:dutch-nitrogen-green-deal:2026-09-30</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 30 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Dutch cabinet’s 26 Jun 2026 €20B nitrogen package remains the programme; 15 Sep Throne speech refused postponement/cancellation. Denmark’s L5 gødskningslov (3 Sep; force 1 Jan 2027) now has most farm-level 2027 coastal emission limits posted for planning (~29 Sep midnight); some catchments adjusted in October; ~DKK 1.92B compensation frame in ministry messaging.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>SCOTUS — DHS v. D.V.D. third-country removals (26A406 / 26-426) — Stay granted 29 Sep; cert granted; Dec argument</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#scotus-dhs-dvd-third-country-26a406</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:scotus-dhs-dvd-third-country-26a406:2026-09-29</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 29 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Emergency stay of D. Mass. Feb 25 2026 order/judgment granted 29 Sep 2026; application treated as cert petition and granted as No. 26-426 for December 2026 argument. Sotomayor, Kagan, Jackson would deny stay. Merits of third-country-removal Guidance still open. Distinct from Kingdom BOP 26A416.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Manitoba PE/HE curriculum pilot &amp; parental option — Pilot live; public accommodation guidelines still pending</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#manitoba-pehe-curriculum-pilot</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:manitoba-pehe-curriculum-pilot:2026-09-29</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 29 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Voluntary two-year pilot of rewritten health/phys-ed curriculum; premier pledged parental alternative-delivery option remains. Border Land School Division (23 Sep) will not join the pilot. CBC (window through 29 Sep) still says revised accommodation guidelines were circulated to pilot schools and would be posted publicly “soon” — no verified edu.gov.mb.ca public posting this run. Watch the public guideline URL and 2028–29 mandate.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>PBO capital-budgeting / operating-balance assessment — RP-2627-010-S published 24 Sep 2026</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#pbo-capital-budgeting-assessment</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:pbo-capital-budgeting-assessment:2026-09-28</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 28 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>PBO operating-budget fiscal-anchor note (24 Sep) projects balance in 2029–30 vs Budget 2025’s 2028–29 target (and vs Carney’s 15 Sep 2027–28 claim). Flags inconsistent operating/capital labels. Pair with June EFO and September CPI refresh (19 Oct 2026).</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Big Six — CAD tokenized deposits exploration — Announced 22 Sep 2026 — exploration only</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#canada-big-six-tokenized-deposits</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:canada-big-six-tokenized-deposits:2026-09-24</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>BMO, CIBC, NBC, RBC, Scotiabank and TD jointly exploring CAD tokenized-deposit solutions for interbank movement. Not a BoC retail CBDC. Watch any Payments Canada / OSFI / CDIC guidance and whether a phase-one network actually stands up.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Ottawa — Safe Access By-law zones — In force 1 Aug 2026; Sep list corrected</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#ottawa-safe-access-bylaw</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:ottawa-safe-access-bylaw:2026-09-24</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>50-metre application-based protest buffers around designated schools, daycares, worship and care facilities. September designated-facility list initially had address errors later corrected. Watch renewals (~Sep 2027), ticket data, and any Charter challenge.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Oregon — S.D. v. Reese prison housing (9th Cir.) — PI vacated; class decertified (17 Sep 2026)</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#oregon-sd-v-reese-9th-cir</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:oregon-sd-v-reese-9th-cir:2026-09-23</guid>
      <pubDate>Wed, 23 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Ninth Circuit vacated D. Or. class injunction that required gender-identity placement presumption into Oregon’s women’s prison. Individual claims may continue on remand; watch any en banc or SCOTUS petition.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>EHRC Code of Practice post–For Women Scotland — Services Code statutory 5 Aug 2026; SPS guidance struck</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#ehrc-code-for-women-scotland</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:ehrc-code-for-women-scotland:2026-09-22</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 22 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Equality Act sex = biological sex per UKSC. EHRC Services Code reported statutory from 5 Aug 2026. Outer House [2026] CSOH 59 (19 Jun) held SPS transgender prisons guidance unlawful — sex segregation by biological sex.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>IRCC / StatsCan — NPR share vs &lt;5% by end-2027 — Levels Plan path — track quarterly stock</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#ircc-npr-under-5-percent</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:ircc-npr-under-5-percent:2026-09-21</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Government commitment: non-permanent residents under 5% of population by end-2027. Arrival targets ≠ on-shore stock — watch StatsCan/IRCC quarterly shares.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Justice Canada — first C-14 annual bail-data report — Statutory reporting due after Jul 2026 force</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#c14-bail-data-report</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:c14-bail-data-report:2026-09-21</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>C-14 mandates annual bail-data reporting. First report will test whether reverse onuses and retail aggravators changed outcomes.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>ZEV mandate repeal — Gazette comment close 29 Oct 2026 — Proposed repeal — comments to 29 Oct 2026</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#zev-repeal-gazette-oct29</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:zev-repeal-gazette-oct29:2026-09-21</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Canada Gazette Part I proposes killing EVAS sales targets/credits while keeping fleet GHG tools. Watch Part II registration and BC/QC provincial ZEV interaction.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Alberta CA — Calgary bubble-zone bylaw — Leave granted Jul 2026 — hearing TBD</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#calgary-bubble-zone-ca</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:calgary-bubble-zone-ca:2026-09-21</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Safe and Inclusive Access Bylaw narrowed below; Court of Appeal leave granted. Pair with Vaughan CCLA challenge milestones.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Fertilizer emissions — voluntary target → mandate risk — Voluntary AAFC target — watch Gazette conversion</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#fertilizer-emissions-mandate-risk</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:fertilizer-emissions-mandate-risk:2026-09-21</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>AAFC fertilizer emissions intensity target remains voluntary (~30% below 2020 by 2030). Trigger: Gazette or provincial rule converting voluntary to binding.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Egale / Skipping Stone v. Alberta — Bill 27 pronouns — Charter challenge live after 1 Sep 2025 force date</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#egale-v-alberta-bill-27</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:egale-v-alberta-bill-27:2026-09-21</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Challenge to Education Amendment Act 2024 parental notice/consent for gender-related name/pronouns. Separate from Bill 26 gender-care injunction.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Mirabelli v. Bonta — merits after SCOTUS interim order — Interim parental relief; merits appeal continues</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#mirabelli-v-bonta-merits</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:mirabelli-v-bonta-merits:2026-09-21</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>SCOTUS vacated Ninth Circuit stay as to parents (2 Mar 2026). Watch merits briefing and any expansion beyond named plaintiffs; pair with AB 1955 limited injunction.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>England KCSIE 2026 — gender-questioning implementation — In force from 1 Sep 2026 — watch school practice</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#uk-kcsie-2026-implementation</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:uk-kcsie-2026-implementation:2026-09-21</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Statutory safeguarding guidance folds Cass-informed gender-questioning content into KCSIE; parents’ views carry great weight with a harm exception.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>California AB 2624 — “Stop Nick Shirley Act” — Federal challenge filed</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#ab-2624-nick-shirley</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:ab-2624-nick-shirley:2026-09-21</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Immigration-services privacy / anti-doxxing framing; America First Legal suit argues speech chill on investigative reporting.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Westlock flyer — Alberta Section 3 / human-rights tribunal — Tribunal process underway</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#westlock-section-3-tribunal</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:westlock-section-3-tribunal:2026-09-21</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Speech fight over a flyer opposing a rainbow crosswalk — Section 3 human-rights path as provincial censorship battleground.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>USDA dairy checkoff ESG restrictions — USDA climbdown after Wisconsin suit</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#usda-dairy-checkoff-esg</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:usda-dairy-checkoff-esg:2026-09-21</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Mandatory checkoff fees pulled back from ESG marketing spend after Wisconsin producers sued — concrete agency response, not just rhetoric.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Fellers v. Kelley — Bow NH “XX” wristbands — Appeals court backs parents</title>
      <link>https://thedailyteabag.com/watchlist#bow-nh-xx-wristbands</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">watchlist:bow-nh-xx-wristbands:2026-09-21</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Silent wristband protest over transgender athlete policy — First Circuit speech precedent for school discipline fights.</description>
      <category>watchlist</category>
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